Investments Other Than Real Estate...

[BlaineBradley]

Hey,



I thought it would be fun to discuss stocks on our collective radar. Is anybody interested in a thread regarding different stocks they are looking into and their fundamentals?



I have heard on various business stations that 2014 will be a good year for Industrial and Mining stocks. What do you think?



With the Fukishima disaster in the rear view mirror (so to speak), will the Uranium plays and nuclear energy be on the rise?



Is the pricing trouble over for the Potash Cartels?



Will the Canadian Banks continue their steady rise?



How long will oil stay in/around/above $100 per barrel?



Where do you see the Canadian dollar going as the year progresses?

 

[Thomas Beyer]

[quote user=BlaineBradley]

With the Fukishima disaster in the rear view mirror (so to speak), will the Uranium plays and nuclear energy be on the rise?
yes



[quote user=BlaineBradley]

Will the Canadian Banks continue their steady rise?
yes



[quote user=BlaineBradley]

How long will oil stay in/around/above $100 per barrel?
yes, likely higher



[quote user=BlaineBradley]

Where do you see the Canadian dollar going as the year progresses?
between 86 and 90 cent US



What else do I buy:

http://myreinspace.com/public_forums1/General_Discussion/61-8913-What_else_do_you_buy__besides_Apartment_Buildings.html

 

[Rickson9]

[quote user=BlaineBradley]I have heard on various business stations that 2014 will be a good year for Industrial and Mining stocks. What do you think?


I have been investing in stocks for over 16 years and have never invested in industrial or mining stocks so I don't' know. My stock portfolio is only a bit less than $2m. My own money. No leverage. I'm not a big hedge fund type player so take my opinions with a hefty bag of salt.



[quote user=BlaineBradley]With the Fukishima disaster in the rear view mirror (so to speak), will the Uranium plays and nuclear energy be on the rise?


I've never invested in uranium plays or nuclear energy so I don't know.



[quote user=BlaineBradley]Is the pricing trouble over for the Potash Cartels?


I don't know about this either. For the same reason.



[quote user=BlaineBradley]Will the Canadian Banks continue their steady rise?


I don't know about this either. For the same reason.



[quote user=BlaineBradley]How long will oil stay in/around/above $100 per barrel?


I don't know.



[quote user=BlaineBradley]Where do you see the Canadian dollar going as the year progresses?


I don't know where the CAD goes. Ultimately it doesn't matter for me, but I guess if it goes to $0.70 vs the USD I wouldn't complain.



I apologize if this wasn't useful. I don't consider macroeconomic factors when investing. But that's just me. To each their own.

 

[BlaineBradley]

Rickson9,



It looks like you don't invest in Industrials, Mining, Uranium, Nuclear Energy, Potash (Agriculture) or Canadian Banks. What sectors do you invest in? Do you only invest in index funds, ETF's, GLD, SLV, REITS?



Again I am just looking for discussion...



Personally I am trying to build a dividend based portfolio of good Medium to Large Cap stocks. With a dividend, I can be patient as I am getting paid while I wait.

 

[Rickson9]

Hi Blainebradley,



I don't invest in index funds, ETFs, GLD, SLV or REITs. I invest in individual U.S. public companies that have a large shareholder (or shareholders) involved in the business. In general I look for public companies that have specific 'core' metrics of:



1. Insider ownership >= 20%

2. debt/equity = 0 (sometimes I try 0.1 or 10%)

3. consistent and increasing revenue/profits (5-10 years)

4. small (e.g. $500m to $2b market capitalization)



Once I have this list, I further rank these businesses by 'secondary' metrics of:



1. profit margin (indicates resistance to competition/inflation)

2. return on equity (indicates growth rate)



And having done all that, I eliminate the following hyper-competitive businesses:



1. technology

2. footwear

3. furniture

4. airlines

5. resources



I don't invest for dividends, and instead, use the "sell-off" approach. The "sell-off" approach is superior to investing for dividends as it leaves me with both more cash to spend annually and more wealth overall. The method is espoused by Warren Buffett and best explained by him here:

http://www.businessinsider.com/warren-buffett-on-dividends-2013-3



A more in depth rational for all my stock investing decisions can be found in my AMA behind the pay-wall at:

http://www.thefastlaneforum.com/community/threads/my-method-of-investing-in-u-s-stocks-ama.43994/