QUOTE (JoeRagona @ Sep 6 2010, 11:58 AM) . . .
Also, is `compounding` legal? If I do not raise this year and assuming the increase is the same next, can I now double that increase? I thought you could not do this as you have one chance per year in Ontario to raise the rent with a current tenant.
QUOTE (housingrental @ Sep 6 2010, 12:54 PM) You are correct
You can NOT do this
Hi Adam / Joe
This is actually my point. If you can`t be assured of making up the difference in the future, make the move when you can.
If you can`t roll the increase than you lose the compounding too, and if you set a arbitrary limit close to this allowable increase, because it is too low, than you will over time be losing ground. At the very least you fail to move with the CPI (localized supposedly), upon which the allowable increase is based - costs up, revenues neutral, owner loses.
Then the questions remain, is this a one time thing, or how many years do you want to do this? What if it the limit is too low 3 out of 10 years (what if it is more than 3)? Have you not already `trained` your tenant that you don`t raise your rent when the allowable increase is small. So in this example you are now running somewhere about 3% behind where you would otherwise be (assuming those low years average 0.7% each).
To use Mark`s earlier example of $1400 per for 10 doors you are out over $5000 (1400*12*10*3%) per year, every year, under this example. This is for every year after the third missed increase, and more because you would lose some of the compounding on the intervening `good increase` years. Assuming a hold of 15 years after the third increase this is $75,000 in lost income.
Now lets look at the effect on capitalization. Assuming a 8% cap, and sticking with the example, you have also lost $62,500 (12.5*$5000) in unrealizable capital value (would certainly go along way to covering the transaction costs on exit, at least). This added to your lost income for the 15 years that`s $137,500, unleveraged - pretax or deferred. A gift basket a year for the same 10 doors would be far cheaper, me thinks.
If you have a 5 to 10 times larger portfolio, that is $687,500 - $1,375,000 - no longer small potatoes. Probably more because you would have been able to leverage against the increased cash flow or reduced your interest expenses over multiple years.
Small numbers have a way of complexing, so unless there is a strong market driven reason not to, I still think it is better to use these opportunities to your advantage, however small they seem. I would not assume that this small amount is truly an anomaly.
Clearly there are a number of assumptions here and they are made only to illustrate my point.
Oops - Just realized that the numbers I put in were based on 4 times (in 10 years not 3) so adjust accordingly, and take the point not the assumptions please.