I have never been this pessimistic about Alberta since I arrived here 30 years ago. The Alberta advantage is gone gone gone.
Hard words to read and take in from someone as experienced as yourself. But we are decidedly on the mat after a one-two punch losing two conservative governments in 2015 and enduring an oil price war. Are we going to stand up or get counted out?
These market conditions will create opportunity for some. My business took off coming out of the last recession. We are doing so again, taking market share from the old guard that are seemingly content to take their lumps, blame someone/something else rather than innovate and embrace change. It will be harder to make money in real estate and many will exit the business, divest their portfolios, "retire" etc. For the committed professionals looking beyond a couple years, this will be a window of opportunity not to be missed. REIN members have the distinct advantage of being able to network with one another to stay ahead of layperson.
My advice on getting through this? Not that anyone asked for it but I'll give three pointers:
1. Stop reading the news. It's the same story over and over again. It's all bad, and it's depressing. The media piles it on. Avoid those that have nothing positive to say or else they will pull you into their pit of despair.
2. Optimize what you have. In a growth market we all too often get caught up in the 'next deal', and don't pay enough attention to operations. There is likely money slipping through your fingers with your current enterprise, regardless of size.
3. Become a forward thinking beacon of hope in the eyes of those around you. It will attract people and deals to your business... others will rally around you because you are going somewhere. Negotiating becomes easier.
The deck is being shuffled.... our market is re-calibrating or adjusting or whatever. Spend your effort focusing on what you can control.. to best take advantage of it.